Another look at Ricardian equivalence: The case of the European Union

Thomas Grennes, Andris Strazds, 28 February 2013

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The so-called Ricardian equivalence suggests that a government will have the same effect on private spending whether it raises taxes or takes on additional debt to finance higher government spending. The logic behind it is that as the government gets more indebted, people would put aside more money in expectation of higher taxes in the future.

Topics: Europe's nations and regions
Tags: Eurozone crisis, Germany, Greece, Ricardian equivalence, Spain, UK

Winners of a European banking union

Dirk Schoenmaker, Arjen Siegmann, 27 February 2013

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The aim of the prospective banking union is to foster financial stability in Europe. The euro sovereign debt crisis has shown that financial stability cannot be managed effectively at the national level, because of the diabolic loop between national governments and banks (Alter and Schüler 2012).

Topics: EU institutions, EU policies, Europe's nations and regions
Tags: Bailouts, banking union, Eurozone crisis, Netherlands, Spain, Sweden, UK

Investigating the effect of exchange-rate changes in Japan, China, east Asia, and Europe

Willem Thorbecke, 26 February 2013

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Policymakers are concerned about currency wars and competitive devaluations. Many complain that trading partners are artificially lowering their exchange rates through quantitative easing and managed exchange rates in order to gain price competitiveness for their exporters.

Topics: Exchange rates
Tags: China, Europe, Eurozone crisis, Japan, US

IMF lending and banking crises

Luca Papi, Andrea F Presbitero, Alberto Zazzaro, 25 February 2013

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During the 1990s, the IMF’s lending policy has been blamed for imposing the economic recipes of the Washington Consensus on recipient countries.

Topics: Global governance, International finance
Tags: banking crises, conditionality, Eurozone crisis, IMF

Mutualisation and constitutionalisation

Harold James, Hans-Werner Sinn, 26 February 2013

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It is often claimed – especially but not only by US economists – that the travails of the euro show that it is impossible to have a monetary union in the absence of a political union.

Topics: Economic history, Politics and economics
Tags: banking union, Eurozone crisis, mutualisation, US

Why do large movements in exchange rates have small effects on international prices?

Mary Amiti, Oleg Itskhoki, Jozef Konings, 19 February 2013

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Exchange rate moves have surprisingly small effects on prices. This apparent ‘disconnect’ is one of the central puzzles in international macroeconomics. It is also a continual headache for policymakers who rely on exchange rates to accommodate the adjustment of global (current account) imbalances.

Topics: Exchange rates
Tags: competitiveness, euro, Eurozone crisis, exports, imports

Designing a federal bank

Harold James, 18 February 2013

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How centralised should the operation of a central bank be? Central banks were originally created as instruments to facilitate the financial arrangements of unified and centrally directed states, as was the case for the first central banks – in Sweden, England, and France.

Topics: Economic history, EU institutions
Tags: banking union, Eurozone crisis, US Federal Reserve

Making the European Monetary Union

Harold James, 17 February 2013

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It is often claimed – especially but not only by US economists – that the travails of the euro show that it is impossible to have a monetary union in the absence of a political union, and that Europe is necessarily embarking on a US-style experiment in federalism.

Topics: Economic history, EU institutions
Tags: Bretton Woods, Eurozone crisis, German surplus

We may have avoided the cliffs, but we still face high mountains

Olivier Blanchard, 13 February 2013

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Optimism is in the air, particularly in financial markets. And some cautious optimism may indeed be justified.
Compared to where we were at the same time last year, acute risks have decreased. The US has avoided the fiscal cliff, and the euro explosion in Europe did not occur. And uncertainty is lower.

Topics: Global economy
Tags: Eurozone crisis, fiscal cliff, recovery

Monetary policy and firing costs

Ester Faia, Wolfgang Lechthaler, Christian Merkl, 9 February 2013

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Recession has put many Eurozone labour markets under stress, particularly those in Mediterranean countries that have inflexible markets. As part of ongoing reforms, many have tackled the labour market – under the explicit encouragement of the EU and the ECB.

Topics: Labour markets, Monetary policy
Tags: Eurozone crisis, firing costs

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