The housing market and the case for higher inflation targets in the US and the Eurozone

Joshua Aizenman, Menzie D. Chinn , 15 May 2012

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The eloquent advocacy for moderate inflation at times of peril goes back to Irving Fisher’s seminal paper on the debt deflation:

Topics: Macroeconomic policy, Monetary policy
Tags: Eurozone crisis, housing market, inflation, US

A proposal to reform the US mortgage finance

Viral Acharya, Matthew Richardson, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, Lawrence J. White, 12 May 2011

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The goal of reforming housing finance should be to ensure economic efficiency, both in the primary mortgage market (origination) as well as in the secondary mortgage market (securitisation). By economic efficiency, we have in mind a housing finance system that:

Topics: Financial markets, Global crisis
Tags: global crisis, housing market, sub-prime, too-big-to-fail, US, US housing finance

Is the US bankruptcy code to blame for overinvestment in housing by US households?

Harry Huizinga, Luc Laeven, Reint Gropp, Stefano Corradin, 25 January 2011

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The US subprime crisis erupted because US households had borrowed too much, and had invested too much in housing. In the aftermath of the crisis, the US financial system is being revamped to prevent a recurrence of too much risky borrowing – for instance, by adopting tougher capital adequacy standards for banks.

Topics: Financial markets, Global crisis, Microeconomic regulation
Tags: bankruptcy code, housing market, US

Can interest rates explain the US housing boom and bust?

Edward Glaeser, Joshua Gottlieb, Joseph Gyourko, 28 August 2010

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Between 2001 and the end of 2005, the Standard and Poor’s/Case-Shiller 20 City Composite House Price Index rose by 46% in real terms. By the first quarter of 2009 the index had dropped by about one-third before stabilising. The volatility of the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) repeat-sales price index was less extreme but still severe.

Topics: Global crisis
Tags: global crisis, housing market, subprime crisis, US

Just how risky are China’s housing markets?

Joseph Gyourko, Yongheng Deng , Jing Wu, 28 July 2010

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China is experiencing spectacularly fast growth – so fast that many fear it is driven by a bubble – a property bubble to be precise. Recent memories of what happened when the US housing market bubble burst make the possibility of a Chinese housing bubble a critical concern for the world economy. So, is there a bubble or is it simply hot air?

Topics: Global crisis, Macroeconomic policy
Tags: China, financial crises, housing market

How housing slumps end

Agustín S. Bénétrix, Barry Eichengreen, Kevin H O’Rourke, 21 July 2010

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As concern over the sustainability of public debts has risen to the top of the list of macroeconomic concerns, it has become too easy to forget that this crisis started with a housing slump (Cecchetti 2007). How it ends will also depend, in part, on housing markets.

Topics: Global economy
Tags: global crisis, housing market, locomotive theory

The responsible homeowner reward: An incentive-based solution to strategic mortgage default

Alex Edmans, 17 July 2010

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Three years after the US housing bubble burst, mortgage default is still a headline issue. Apart of the economic waste and personal losses, defaults and foreclosures can ruin neighbourhoods. Foreclosure often results in vandalism, disinvestment, and other negative spillover effects in the neighbourhood (Lin et al. 2009).

Topics: Financial markets, Frontiers of economic research
Tags: housing market, mortgage default, subprime crisis

Diverging trends in money demand and housing across the Eurozone

Paul van den Noord, Ralph Setzer, Guntram Wolff, 15 May 2010

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Ever since the inception of the single currency the monetary policy framework of the ECB has stressed the importance of monetary aggregates.

Topics: Europe's nations and regions
Tags: eurozone, global crisis, housing market, Money demand

China’s property bubble

Takatoshi Ito, 15 April 2010

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Many of our Chinese friends who live in Shanghai and Beijing are telling us that the property inflation rate exceeds 50% – and 100% in some areas. Available housing for a young couple is far from downtown, closer to one-hour commuting distance, and still more than ten times the average salary.

Topics: Exchange rates, Financial markets
Tags: bubble, China, exchange-rate policy, housing market

The Spanish trade-off: Bricks vs. brains

Antonio Cabrales, Juan Dolado, José García-Montalvo, 8 December 2008

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It is by now clear that Spain is in the throes of its deepest economic slump since the early eighties. By comparison, the previous downturn in the early nineties looks slight. After a miraculous decade where GDP and employment grew at average annual rates close to 4% and 5%, respectively, the latest officially released figures (corresponding to 2008: III) paint a rather bleak picture.

Topics: Europe's nations and regions
Tags: housing market, labour reform, Spain

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