How big are productivity gains from FDI?
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, Christian Fons-Rosen, Bent E. Sørensen, Carolina Villegas-Sanchez, Vadym Volosovych, 4 June 2013
During the decades of globalisation, flows of foreign direct investment have surged in parallel with extensive policy momentum. This column examines whether the net aggregate gain from FDI is positive using a large panel of firms from 30 European countries. It turns out that even very large increases in FDI are not important for country-level productivity growth.
During the decades of globalisation, flows of foreign direct investment (FDI) to both developed and emerging markets have surged in parallel with extensive policy momentum to increase FDI at the expense of debt as the major source of external financing.
This pro-FDI policy urge is justified by the perceived benefits of FDI on the host country. For example:
Topics: Development, International trade
Tags: FDI, productivity
Eurozone: Looking for growth
Laurence Boone, Céline Renucci, Ruben Segura-Cayuela, 25 March 2013
What happens after the crisis ends? This column estimates the long-term effects of the current cyclical downturn on Eurozone economies. In the absence of any real impetus for bold reform, estimates show that the damage will indeed be long lasting, permanently impairing growth for an ageing population that requires higher growth capacity more than ever before.
The financial crisis that erupted in 2008, prolonged by a sovereign crisis in the Eurozone, led to a massive contraction in trade, as well as in investment in physical and human capital; thus undermining the foundations of future growth. This may well continue as growth will not rapidly rebound while deleveraging slowly proceeds across Eurozone economies.
Topics: Europe's nations and regions, Productivity and Innovation
Tags: Ageing, Eurozone crisis, growth, productivity, Solow
Reallocation and Technology: Evidence from the U.S. Steel Industry
Allan Collard-Wexler, Jan De Loecker, 3 February 2013
This paper measures the impact of the minimill, a drastic new technology for producing steel. The authors find that the sharp increase in the industry's productivity is linked to this new technology, and operates through two distinct mechanisms. First, minimills displaced the older technology, called vertically integrated production, and this reallocation of output was responsible for a third of the increase in the industry's productivity. Second, increased competition, due to the expansion of minimills, drove a substantial reallocation process within the group of vertically integrated producers, driving a resurgence in their productivity, and consequently of the industry's productivity as a whole.
Vox readers can download CEPR Discussion Paper 9331 for free here.
Journalists are entitled to free DP downloads on request; please contact pressoffice@cepr.org. To learn more about subscribing to CEPR's Discussion Paper Series, please visit the CEPR website.
URL: www.cepr.org/pubs/dps/DP9331.asp
Topics: Industrial organisation
Tags: competition, productivity, reallocation, technology
Trade liberalization and embedded institutional reform: Evidence from Chinese exporters
Amit Khandelwal, Shang-Jin Wei, Peter K. Schott , 2 December 2012
If trade barriers are managed by inefficient institutions, trade liberalization can lead to greater-than-expected gains. This paper examines Chinese textile and clothing exports before and after the removal of externally imposed quotas. Both the surge in export volumes and the decline in prices after the quota removal are driven by net entry, implying that the pre-liberalisation quota allocation is not based on firm productivity. Removing this misallocation accounts for a substantial share of the overall productivity gains associated with the quota removal.
Vox readers can download CEPR Discussion Paper 9246 for free here.
Journalists are entitled to free DP downloads on request; please contact pressoffice@cepr.org. To learn more about subscribing to CEPR's Discussion Paper Series, please visit the CEPR website.
URL: www.cepr.org/pubs/dps/DP9246.asp
Topics: Development, International trade
Tags: China, misallocation, multifibre agreement, productivity
Labour productivity since the onset of the crisis – an international and historical perspective
Abigail Hughes, Jumana Saleheen, 19 August 2012
Worker productivity in the UK and a number of other countries has been persistently weak since the onset of the global crisis. This column argues that, in the UK at least, the weakness in service sector productivity is the biggest puzzle. In most other countries the weakness is more obvious in manufacturing.
Productivity in the UK and a number of other countries has been recovering only slowly since the start of the financial crisis (Figure 1 and Figure 2). While productivity often falls in the initial stages a recession, persistently weak productivity four years into a crisis is more unusual to see.
Topics: Global crisis, Labour markets, Productivity and Innovation
Tags: global crisis, productivity, UK
Why trade policy matters for firms’ R&D investment
Andreas Moxnes, Karen-Helene Ulltveit-Moe, Esther Ann Bøler, 18 July 2012
With trade barriers rising, the time is right to refresh the evidence that openness to trade comes with substantial benefits. This column focuses on the complementarity between R&D and foreign sourcing. Looking at Norwegian firms from 1997 to 2005, it argues that one fifth of productivity growth came from sourcing more foreign products, while the remaining four fifths came from technical change.
As the crisis continues to ricochet around the world and unemployment stays elevated, the threat of protectionism rises. As the latest WTO report on G20 trade measures (WTO 2012) and the GTA database confirm (Evenett 2012), the threat is real. Trade barriers are rising.
Topics: International trade, Productivity and Innovation
Tags: imports, productivity, R&D
Apart from the fiscal compact – on competitiveness, nominal wages and labour productivity
Marga Peeters, Ard den Reijer, 3 January 2012
While EU leaders are drafting a fiscal compact, the problem of intra-European real exchange-rate misalignments remains. This column argues that reducing imbalances implies a focus on competitiveness, and hence on the alignment of nominal-wage growth with labour-productivity growth.
Eurozone members that face the consequences of severe asymmetric shocks can, in the absence of labour mobility, accommodate by means of fiscal transfers. In order to avoid becoming a one-way transfer union from the core to the periphery, the EU needs to address structural imbalances and persistent current-account deficits and surpluses that are due to real exchange-rate misalignment.
Topics: EU policies, Productivity and Innovation
Tags: eurozone, productivity, wages
Manufacturing is special
Dani Rodrik, 9 November 2011
Poor countries have access to world markets and rich countries’ technologies. In principle, they should catch up. Yet the record belies this expectation. But this column argues labour productivity in manufacturing displays a clear tendency towards convergence, unconditional on the countries’ institutions or policies. The policies that matter for growth are thus those that bear on the reallocation of labour from nonconvergence to convergence activities.
Poor countries have access to world markets, off-the-shelf technologies developed by others, and rich countries’ savings. So in principle, they should develop rapidly – more rapidly than advanced economies, which are already at the technological frontier. Yet the historical record belies this expectation.
Topics: Industrial organisation, Productivity and Innovation
Tags: convergence, growth, manufacturing, productivity
Unconditional convergence
Dani Rodrik, 31 October 2011
If rich and poor countries have access to the same technology, shouldn't their productivity levels eventually converge? This would imply that poor countries should grow more quickly until they catch up – but such a tendency has never been proven. CEPR DP8631 shows that this convergence in output does in fact occur – but within manufacturing sectors rather than in economies as a whole.
Vox readers can download CEPR Discussion Paper 8631 for free here. To learn more about subscribing to CEPR's Discussion Paper Series, please visit the CEPR pressoffice@cepr.org. To learn more about subscribing to CEPR's Discussion Paper Series, please visit the CEPR website.
URL: http://www.cepr.org/DP8631
Topics: Development, Industrial organisation, Productivity and Innovation
Tags: convergence, GDP growth, manufacturing sector, productivity, technology
The incredible shrinking Portuguese firm
Serguey Braguinsky, Lee Branstetter, André Regateiro, 10 September 2011
Portugal was the third member to join the unenviable club of bailed-out Eurozone countries. This column explores one of the central weaknesses of the Portuguese economy – its low productivity. It finds that this is in part the result of the shrinking size of Portugal’s companies, which is in turn caused by distortions in its labour market that need to be fixed.
The Portuguese economy has been making headlines. After months of deteriorating economic circumstances and declining confidence in the nation's ability to make good on its rapidly expanding debts, Portugal became the third Eurozone bailout case.
Topics: Europe's nations and regions, Labour markets, Productivity and Innovation
Tags: firm size, labour-market protection, Portugal, productivity